Vest: payout projections and the completion catch-up restart same-day stages each day

projectPerfectPath and endedCycleCompletion counted every withdrawal ever
made, so a Vest funded account that had claimed on any earlier day was
projected at stage 2's $3,000 forever (labelled stage 3, 4, ...), and a
day's stage-1 cycle that the auto-claim ended before the reporter saw it
was judged against $3,000 and never reported. The projection now takes
the stage inputs: a type whose stages reset each day trades today on
today's payouts and every projected day from the base stage. The catch-up
judges a same-day type's ended cycle on its day's base stage; the stage it
reports stays the payout's number among the account's withdrawals, which
the master clears the entry by. Other types project exactly as before.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brandon Li
2026-10-27 14:15:07 -05:00
co-authored by Claude Opus 5.5
parent 4add379c68
commit e33e890a83
5 changed files with 99 additions and 15 deletions
+2
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@@ -608,6 +608,8 @@ export default function AccountPage() {
fundTransactions, fundTransactions,
balance: account.amount, balance: account.amount,
realizedPnL: account.realizedPnL, realizedPnL: account.realizedPnL,
// A type whose stages reset each day: its state stage counts today's payouts.
stageInputs: { stagesSameDay: cfg.stagesSameDay === true, sameDayWithdrawals: account.stage - 1 },
maxWithdrawals: 2, maxWithdrawals: 2,
payout: { payout: {
withdrawalPct: cfg.withdrawalPct, withdrawalPct: cfg.withdrawalPct,
+1
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@@ -208,6 +208,7 @@ function collectFirmStats() {
fundTransactions: fundTxns, fundTransactions: fundTxns,
balance: cash.amount, balance: cash.amount,
realizedPnL: cash.realizedPnL, realizedPnL: cash.realizedPnL,
stageInputs: stageInputsFor(client, acc.id, cfg),
payout: { payout: {
withdrawalPct: cfg.withdrawalPct, withdrawalPct: cfg.withdrawalPct,
payoutCap: cfg.payoutCap, payoutCap: cfg.payoutCap,
+38 -14
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@@ -442,6 +442,11 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
fundTransactions: { date: string; amount: number }[]; fundTransactions: { date: string; amount: number }[];
balance: number; balance: number;
realizedPnL: number; realizedPnL: number;
/** What picks the stage beyond the fund rows (stageInputsFor). A type
* whose stages reset each day trades today on today's payouts and
* every projected day from the base stage. Absent = every withdrawal
* counts. */
stageInputs?: StageInputs;
/** Trading days to look ahead. */ /** Trading days to look ahead. */
horizonDays?: number; horizonDays?: number;
maxWithdrawals?: number; maxWithdrawals?: number;
@@ -528,17 +533,28 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
return room / (room + dayTarget); return room / (room + dayTarget);
}; };
const effectiveNow = () => resolveEffectiveConfig( // A type whose stages reset each day (Vest) counts only the payouts made
// since its day began: today's real ones, and none on a projected day —
// the path pays out at most once a day, as the day's last entry, so
// every projected day trades the base stage.
const sameDay = opts.stageInputs?.stagesSameDay === true;
/** Payouts before the stage traded on `day`: that day's own for a
* same-day type, else every withdrawal so far. */
const paidBefore = (day: string): number => (sameDay
? (day === today ? Math.max(0, Math.floor(opts.stageInputs?.sameDayWithdrawals ?? 0)) : 0)
: funds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length);
const effectiveOn = (day: string) => resolveEffectiveConfig(
cfg.profitTarget, cfg.consistency, cfg.minTradingDays, cfg.targetSameEquity, cfg.profitTarget, cfg.consistency, cfg.minTradingDays, cfg.targetSameEquity,
cfg.withdrawalStages, 0, funds, cfg.minDayPnL, cfg.withdrawalStages, 0, funds, cfg.minDayPnL,
sameDay ? { stagesSameDay: true, sameDayWithdrawals: paidBefore(day) } : {},
); );
/** The payout parameters of the stage currently being traded: per-stage /** The payout parameters of the stage being completed: per-stage
* overrides when set, else the type defaults. */ * overrides when set, else the type defaults. */
const stagePayout = (): { pct: number; cap: number } => { const stagePayout = (stage: number): { pct: number; cap: number } => {
const count = funds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length; const count = stage - 1;
if (count === 0 || cfg.withdrawalStages.length === 0) return { pct: basePct, cap: baseCap }; if (count === 0 || cfg.withdrawalStages.length === 0) return { pct: basePct, cap: baseCap };
const stage = cfg.withdrawalStages[Math.min(count - 1, cfg.withdrawalStages.length - 1)]; const s = cfg.withdrawalStages[Math.min(count - 1, cfg.withdrawalStages.length - 1)];
return { pct: stage.withdrawalPct ?? basePct, cap: stage.payoutCap ?? baseCap }; return { pct: s.withdrawalPct ?? basePct, cap: s.payoutCap ?? baseCap };
}; };
const qualifyingDays = (minDay: number, excludeDate: string) => ( const qualifyingDays = (minDay: number, excludeDate: string) => (
minDay > 0 minDay > 0
@@ -550,7 +566,7 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
// Skipped when "today" is a weekend date (Saturday, or Friday evening // Skipped when "today" is a weekend date (Saturday, or Friday evening
// after the roll): there is no session to finish. // after the roll): there is no session to finish.
if (todayHasSession) { if (todayHasSession) {
const eff = effectiveNow(); const eff = effectiveOn(today);
const plan = computeDayPlan( const plan = computeDayPlan(
accountId, today, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL, accountId, today, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL,
eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, opts.realizedPnL, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain, eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, opts.realizedPnL, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain,
@@ -579,7 +595,7 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
// over and over. Only a non-payoutable eval stops after one completion. // over and over. Only a non-payoutable eval stops after one completion.
const loops = cfg.withdrawalStages.length > 0 || cfg.payoutable === true; const loops = cfg.withdrawalStages.length > 0 || cfg.payoutable === true;
const finishCycle = (onDate: string, dayPnl: number, stage: number, drain: boolean): boolean => { const finishCycle = (onDate: string, dayPnl: number, stage: number, drain: boolean): boolean => {
const { pct, cap } = stagePayout(); const { pct, cap } = stagePayout(stage);
const rawGross = round2(Math.max(0, balance - cfg.accountSize) * pct); const rawGross = round2(Math.max(0, balance - cfg.accountSize) * pct);
const gross = cap > 0 ? Math.min(rawGross, round2(cap)) : rawGross; const gross = cap > 0 ? Math.min(rawGross, round2(cap)) : rawGross;
const net = round2(gross * profitSplit); const net = round2(gross * profitSplit);
@@ -601,14 +617,14 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
// requestable after that session's close. Never "today" — a projection // requestable after that session's close. Never "today" — a projection
// computed over the weekend must not slide a Friday finish to Sunday. // computed over the weekend must not slide a Friday finish to Sunday.
{ {
const eff = effectiveNow(); const eff = effectiveOn(today);
const probe = nextDay(today); const probe = nextDay(today);
const plan = computeDayPlan( const plan = computeDayPlan(
accountId, probe, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL, accountId, probe, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL,
eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain, eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain,
); );
if (plan && plan.dayTarget <= 0 && eff.minTradingDays <= qualifyingDays(eff.minDayPnL, probe)) { if (plan && plan.dayTarget <= 0 && eff.minTradingDays <= qualifyingDays(eff.minDayPnL, probe)) {
const stage = 1 + funds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length; const stage = 1 + paidBefore(today);
const traded = sim.filter((d) => d.pnl !== 0); const traded = sim.filter((d) => d.pnl !== 0);
const doneOn = traded.length > 0 const doneOn = traded.length > 0
? traded.reduce((a, b) => (a.date > b.date ? a : b)).date ? traded.reduce((a, b) => (a.date > b.date ? a : b)).date
@@ -620,8 +636,8 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
let date = today; let date = today;
for (let step = 0; step < horizon; step++) { for (let step = 0; step < horizon; step++) {
date = nextDay(date); date = nextDay(date);
const eff = effectiveNow(); const eff = effectiveOn(date);
const stage = 1 + funds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length; const stage = 1 + paidBefore(date);
const plan = computeDayPlan( const plan = computeDayPlan(
accountId, date, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL, accountId, date, eff.profitTarget, eff.consistency, sim, eff.minDayPnL,
eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain, eff.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff.drain,
@@ -647,7 +663,7 @@ export function projectPerfectPath(opts: {
// Did this day complete the cycle? Then it IS the payout day. // Did this day complete the cycle? Then it IS the payout day.
const nd = nextDay(date); const nd = nextDay(date);
const eff2 = effectiveNow(); const eff2 = effectiveOn(date);
const plan2 = computeDayPlan( const plan2 = computeDayPlan(
accountId, nd, eff2.profitTarget, eff2.consistency, sim, eff2.minDayPnL, accountId, nd, eff2.profitTarget, eff2.consistency, sim, eff2.minDayPnL,
eff2.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff2.drain, eff2.minTradingDays, balance - cfg.accountSize, 0, cfg.splitEnabled, eff2.drain,
@@ -819,6 +835,8 @@ export function endedCycleCompletion(opts: {
targetSameEquity: boolean; withdrawalStages: WithdrawalStage[]; targetSameEquity: boolean; withdrawalStages: WithdrawalStage[];
combineCmeHolidays: boolean; splitEnabled: boolean; combineCmeHolidays: boolean; splitEnabled: boolean;
tradesEveryDay?: boolean; tradesEveryDay?: boolean;
/** Stages reset each day (StageInputs). */
stagesSameDay?: boolean;
}; };
/** Defaults to the current time. */ /** Defaults to the current time. */
now?: Date; now?: Date;
@@ -852,10 +870,14 @@ export function endedCycleCompletion(opts: {
const fundAmt = fundTransactions.filter((f) => f.date === lastFundDate).reduce((s, f) => s + f.amount, 0); const fundAmt = fundTransactions.filter((f) => f.date === lastFundDate).reduce((s, f) => s + f.amount, 0);
const equityBefore = round2(opts.equityProfit - curTotal - fundAmt); const equityBefore = round2(opts.equityProfit - curTotal - fundAmt);
// The stage the ended cycle traded on: only the withdrawals before it. // The stage the ended cycle traded on: only the withdrawals before it —
// for a type whose stages reset each day, only that day's. One fund row
// a day shows none before it, and the rows here hold that whole day,
// which began on the base stage: it is judged there.
const eff = resolveEffectiveConfig( const eff = resolveEffectiveConfig(
cfg.profitTarget, cfg.consistency, cfg.minTradingDays, cfg.targetSameEquity, cfg.profitTarget, cfg.consistency, cfg.minTradingDays, cfg.targetSameEquity,
cfg.withdrawalStages, 0, earlierFunds, cfg.minDayPnL, cfg.withdrawalStages, 0, earlierFunds, cfg.minDayPnL,
cfg.stagesSameDay === true ? { stagesSameDay: true, sameDayWithdrawals: 0 } : {},
); );
const rows = combineCmeSessions(combine, endedRaw, lastFundDate, 0).dailyPnL; const rows = combineCmeSessions(combine, endedRaw, lastFundDate, 0).dailyPnL;
// A combining firm's folded day can net to 0 — nothing traded, as the firm counts it. // A combining firm's folded day can net to 0 — nothing traded, as the firm counts it.
@@ -866,6 +888,8 @@ export function endedCycleCompletion(opts: {
return { return {
date: traded.map((d) => d.date).reduce(latest), date: traded.map((d) => d.date).reduce(latest),
// The payout's number among the account's withdrawals, a same-day
// type's too: the master clears the entry once that many have booked.
stage: 1 + earlierFunds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length, stage: 1 + earlierFunds.filter((f) => f.amount < 0).length,
drain: eff.drain, drain: eff.drain,
cycle: prevFundDate ?? '', cycle: prevFundDate ?? '',
+55 -1
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@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@ import assert from 'node:assert/strict';
import { import {
percentFee, takeProfitPlan, onTick, obfuscationStopDollars, dllRoom, dllStopDollars, dllViable, stopTicks, percentFee, takeProfitPlan, onTick, obfuscationStopDollars, dllRoom, dllStopDollars, dllViable, stopTicks,
botStopsActive, sizeNotional, isNoTradeTime, isPastSessionClose, nextTradingDate, effectiveCombine, DEFAULT_TARGET_HOLD_HOURS, botStopsActive, sizeNotional, isNoTradeTime, isPastSessionClose, nextTradingDate, effectiveCombine, DEFAULT_TARGET_HOLD_HOURS,
projectPerfectPath, cycleCompletion, DLL_RESERVE_FRACTION, DLL_MIN_STOP, notionalCap, expectedSwapToWin, MARGIN_HEADROOM, projectPerfectPath, cycleCompletion, endedCycleCompletion, DLL_RESERVE_FRACTION, DLL_MIN_STOP, notionalCap, expectedSwapToWin, MARGIN_HEADROOM,
dllReserve, DLL_SLIPPAGE_FRACTION, maxLossRoom, lastStand, breachDistance, LAST_STAND_FRACTION, planLegSize, rankForTarget, dllReserve, DLL_SLIPPAGE_FRACTION, maxLossRoom, lastStand, breachDistance, LAST_STAND_FRACTION, planLegSize, rankForTarget,
currentTradeDateCT, foldReason, withinFirmCaps, personSizeFactor, personHoldHours, PERSON_SIZE_SPREAD, machineSide, currentTradeDateCT, foldReason, withinFirmCaps, personSizeFactor, personHoldHours, PERSON_SIZE_SPREAD, machineSide,
resolveEffectiveConfig, stageInputsFor, floorRoom, resetClearStop, shortestNextLeg, computeDayPlan, resolveEffectiveConfig, stageInputsFor, floorRoom, resetClearStop, shortestNextLeg, computeDayPlan,
@@ -1147,3 +1147,57 @@ test('the day after a claim: a fresh cycle that aims at the next stage\'s target
assert.ok(plan.dayTarget >= 3000 && plan.dayTarget <= 3025, `dayTarget ${plan.dayTarget}`); assert.ok(plan.dayTarget >= 3000 && plan.dayTarget <= 3025, `dayTarget ${plan.dayTarget}`);
assert.equal(plan.remainingToday, plan.dayTarget); assert.equal(plan.remainingToday, plan.dayTarget);
}); });
// The Vest 50k Funded type: $1,500 and claim it all, then $3,000 on the room
// the claim freed — and every new day back at $1,500.
const vestFunded = {
profitTarget: 1500, consistency: 0, minDayPnL: 0, minTradingDays: 0, accountSize: 50000,
targetSameEquity: false, splitEnabled: true, payoutable: true, tradesEveryDay: true, combineCmeHolidays: false,
withdrawalStages: [{ profit: 3000, consistency: 0, minTradingDays: 0, dailyLossLimit: 3000 }],
};
const claimedBefore = [{ date: '2026-10-20', amount: 50000 }, { date: '2026-10-25', amount: -1500 }];
test('projectPerfectPath: a same-day type trades each projected day from the base stage', () => {
const opts = {
accountId: 7, cfg: vestFunded, cycleDailyPnL: [], fundTransactions: claimedBefore,
balance: 50000, realizedPnL: 0, payout: { withdrawalPct: 1 }, now: cdt('2026-10-27T12:00:00'),
};
const firstOf = (path, n) => path.slice(0, n).map((d) => [d.date, d.stage, d.withdrawal]);
// An earlier day's claim doesn't count: today and every day after it
// make $1,500 on stage 1 and claim it.
const fresh = projectPerfectPath({ ...opts, stageInputs: { dailyLossLimit: 1229, stagesSameDay: true, sameDayWithdrawals: 0 } });
assert.deepEqual(firstOf(fresh, 3), [['2026-10-27', 1, -1500], ['2026-10-28', 1, -1500], ['2026-10-29', 1, -1500]]);
assert.ok(fresh.every((d) => d.stage === 1));
// Claimed once already today: today's cycle is stage 2's $3,000, tomorrow $1,500 again.
const claimedToday = projectPerfectPath({ ...opts, stageInputs: { dailyLossLimit: 1229, stagesSameDay: true, sameDayWithdrawals: 1 } });
assert.deepEqual(firstOf(claimedToday, 2), [['2026-10-27', 2, -3000], ['2026-10-28', 1, -1500]]);
// Any other type counts every withdrawal, as it always has.
const lifetime = projectPerfectPath(opts);
assert.deepEqual(firstOf(lifetime, 3), [['2026-10-27', 2, -3000], ['2026-10-28', 3, -3000], ['2026-10-29', 4, -3000]]);
assert.deepEqual(projectPerfectPath({ ...opts, stageInputs: { dailyLossLimit: 1229, stagesSameDay: false, sameDayWithdrawals: 0 } }), lifetime);
});
test('endedCycleCompletion: a same-day type\'s ended cycle is judged on its day\'s base stage', () => {
// 2026-10-26 made $1,500 and the auto-claim took it before the reporter
// saw the final day; the account had claimed the day before too. The
// claim ended that day's stage 1, not a $3,000 stage 2.
const opts = {
accountId: 7, rawTradeDate: '2026-10-26',
fullDailyPnL: [{ date: '2026-10-25', pnl: 1500 }, { date: '2026-10-26', pnl: 1500 }],
cycleDailyPnL: [],
fundTransactions: [...claimedBefore, { date: '2026-10-26', amount: -1500 }],
lastFundDate: '2026-10-26',
endedCycleStart: { fundDate: '2026-10-25', includesDay: false },
rawRealizedPnL: 0, equityProfit: 0,
cfg: { ...vestFunded, stagesSameDay: true },
now: cdt('2026-10-26T12:00:00'),
};
// Its stage stays the payout's number among the account's withdrawals,
// which the master clears the entry by.
assert.deepEqual(endedCycleCompletion(opts), { date: '2026-10-26', stage: 2, drain: false, cycle: '2026-10-25' });
// Any other type: judged on stage 2's $3,000, as before.
assert.equal(endedCycleCompletion({ ...opts, cfg: vestFunded }), null);
});
+3
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@@ -38,6 +38,9 @@ export interface AccountConfig {
/** Hard daily loss limit in dollars (0/absent = none): every leg carries a /** Hard daily loss limit in dollars (0/absent = none): every leg carries a
* stop that keeps the firm's day inside it, less a reserve and fees. */ * stop that keeps the firm's day inside it, less a reserve and fees. */
dailyLossLimit?: number; dailyLossLimit?: number;
/** The stage is picked by the payouts since the firm's last daily reset,
* and every new day starts back at the base stage (Vest). */
stagesSameDay?: boolean;
/** The firm trades every calendar day, weekends and CME holidays included. */ /** The firm trades every calendar day, weekends and CME holidays included. */
tradesEveryDay?: boolean; tradesEveryDay?: boolean;
} }