Reconstruct TopstepX MLL floors from the EOD balance curve

TopstepX never reports the Maximum Loss Limit, but it's deterministic:
floor = min(0, eodBalanceHigh − trailingDrawdown), locking at the $0
starting balance. The EOD curve rebuilds from daily P&L + fund events,
with off-book fee drift spread across days proportionally to reported
fees (validated against a platform-reported MLL to ~$0.10). Stored in
autoLiqThresholds — negative, or +$0.01 once locked — so dead detection,
dashboards, and the ruin model's startThreshold all use the real room.
Guards move from '> 0' to '!== 0'; 0 still means no floor. canTrade=false
accounts are skipped. daily_pnl gains a fees column for the weighting.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Brandon Li
2026-09-13 13:57:06 -05:00
co-authored by Claude Fable 5
parent 4edb771701
commit fc65b4340d
7 changed files with 121 additions and 18 deletions
+89 -3
View File
@@ -25,6 +25,7 @@ import * as signalR from '@microsoft/signalr';
import { currentTradeDateCT } from './trading-logic';
import { getCachedContract } from './contract-resolver';
import { saveDailyPnL, loadDailyPnL, loadAccountMeta, saveAccountMeta, loadFundTransactions, saveFundTransactions } from './db';
import { getAccountConfig } from './account-type-resolver';
import type { PlatformClient, PlatformAccount, PlatformContract } from './platform-client';
const API_BASE = 'https://api.topstepx.com';
@@ -112,6 +113,10 @@ export class TopstepXClient implements PlatformClient {
* recomputed from these on every REST sync and every live trade event. */
private todayTrades: { [accountId: number]: Map<number, TsxTrade> } = {};
/** Reported fees per trade date, per account — weights for spreading the
* off-book fee drift when reconstructing the MLL floor. */
private dailyFees: { [accountId: number]: Map<string, number> } = {};
/** Front-month contract per product symbol, plus name→contract for order
* placement (sendOrder receives the contract NAME, e.g. "NQZ5"). */
private contractByProduct = new Map<string, { contract: TsxContract; resolvedAt: number }>();
@@ -474,6 +479,12 @@ export class TopstepXClient implements PlatformClient {
} catch (err) {
console.error(`[topstepx] fund reconcile failed for ${acc.name}`, err instanceof Error ? err.message : err);
}
try {
this.updateMllFloor(acc);
} catch (err) {
console.error(`[topstepx] MLL reconstruction failed for ${acc.name}`, err instanceof Error ? err.message : err);
}
}
console.log(`[topstepx] sync — ${this.accountList.length} account(s), ${Object.keys(this.positions).length} open position(s)`);
@@ -553,6 +564,66 @@ export class TopstepXClient implements PlatformClient {
this.applyCycleSlice(account.id);
}
/**
* Reverse-engineer the account's MLL floor — TopstepX never reports it.
*
* Topstep's Maximum Loss Limit sits `trailingDrawdown` below the END-OF-DAY
* balance high, ratchets up only, and locks at the starting balance ($0 for
* Express accounts) once the high has climbed the full drawdown:
*
* floor = min(0, eodBalanceHigh − trailingDrawdown)
*
* The EOD balance curve is rebuilt from daily P&L + recorded fund events.
* Balance the books don't explain (sub-threshold off-book fees) is spread
* across days proportionally to each day's reported fees — validated
* against a platform-reported MLL to within $0.11.
*
* Stored in autoLiqThresholds (negative, or +$0.01 once locked at
* breakeven — 0 must keep meaning "no floor"), which lights up the same
* dead-account handling Tradovate's reported floors use. canTrade=false
* accounts are skipped: the platform has already retired them.
*/
private updateMllFloor(account: PlatformAccount): void {
if (!account.active) { this.autoLiqThresholds[account.id] = 0; return; }
const dd = getAccountConfig(account.id).accountType?.trailingDrawdown ?? 0;
const history = this.fullDailyPnL[account.id];
const cash = this.accountCashBalances[account.id];
if (!(dd > 0) || !history || !cash) { this.autoLiqThresholds[account.id] = 0; return; }
const today = currentTradeDateCT();
const fees = this.dailyFees[account.id] ?? new Map<string, number>();
// One event per past date: booked P&L plus any fund transaction.
const events = new Map<string, number>();
const add = (date: string, amount: number) => events.set(date, (events.get(date) ?? 0) + amount);
for (const d of history) if (d.date !== today) add(d.date, d.pnl);
for (const f of this.fundTransactions[account.id] ?? []) if (f.date !== today) add(f.date, f.amount);
const dates = [...events.keys()].sort();
if (dates.length === 0) { this.autoLiqThresholds[account.id] = 0; return; }
// What the books don't explain (bounded by the reconcile threshold) is
// off-book fee drift — attribute it in proportion to reported fees.
// Today is handled live: the balance carries today's realized P&L and
// any fund event detected today, neither of which is in `events`.
const booked = dates.reduce((s, d) => s + events.get(d)!, 0);
const todayFund = (this.fundTransactions[account.id] ?? []).find((f) => f.date === today)?.amount ?? 0;
const residual = Math.round((cash.amount - cash.realizedPnL - todayFund - booked) * 100) / 100;
const totalFees = dates.reduce((s, d) => s + (fees.get(d) ?? 0), 0);
let bal = 0;
let high = 0; // the MLL starts a full drawdown below the STARTING balance
for (const d of dates) {
const drift = totalFees > 0 ? residual * ((fees.get(d) ?? 0) / totalFees) : (d === dates[0] ? residual : 0);
bal += events.get(d)! + drift;
if (bal > high) high = bal;
}
const floor = high >= dd
? 0.01 // locked at breakeven; one cent keeps it distinct from "no floor"
: Math.round((high - dd) * 100) / 100;
this.autoLiqThresholds[account.id] = floor;
}
private maybeFetchDaysTraded(): void {
if (this.daysFetchInFlight) return;
@@ -629,18 +700,31 @@ export class TopstepXClient implements PlatformClient {
const trades = (res.trades ?? []).filter((t) => !t.voided);
this.lastFetchRaw[account.name] = trades.length > 0 ? JSON.stringify(trades[0]) : '(no trades)';
const dailyMap: { [date: string]: number } = {};
const dailyMap: { [date: string]: { pnl: number; fees: number } } = {};
for (const t of trades) {
const date = currentTradeDateCT(new Date(t.creationTimestamp));
dailyMap[date] = (dailyMap[date] ?? 0) + (t.profitAndLoss ?? 0) - (t.fees ?? 0);
const entry = (dailyMap[date] ??= { pnl: 0, fees: 0 });
entry.pnl += (t.profitAndLoss ?? 0) - (t.fees ?? 0);
entry.fees += t.fees ?? 0;
}
const fresh = Object.entries(dailyMap)
.map(([date, pnl]) => ({ date, pnl: Math.round(pnl * 100) / 100 }))
.map(([date, e]) => ({
date,
pnl: Math.round(e.pnl * 100) / 100,
fees: Math.round(e.fees * 10000) / 10000,
}))
.sort((a, b) => a.date.localeCompare(b.date));
const merged = mergePnL(cached, fresh);
// Reported fees per day — the weights the MLL reconstruction
// uses to place off-book fee drift. Fresh overwrites cached.
const fees = new Map<string, number>();
for (const e of cached) fees.set(e.date, e.fees ?? 0);
for (const e of fresh) fees.set(e.date, e.fees);
this.dailyFees[account.id] = fees;
// The last fund transaction (usually one this client detected
// itself — see reconcileFunds) splits cycles: withdrawals
// exclude their day, deposits include it.
@@ -648,12 +732,14 @@ export class TopstepXClient implements PlatformClient {
this.applyCycleSlice(account.id);
saveDailyPnL(account.id, account.name, fresh);
delete this.lastFetchErrors[account.name];
this.updateMllFloor(account);
} catch (err) {
const msg = err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err);
console.error(`[topstepx] trade history failed for ${account.name}:`, msg);
failedAccounts++;
if (cached.length > 0) {
this.fullDailyPnL[account.id] = cached;
this.dailyFees[account.id] = new Map(cached.map((e) => [e.date, e.fees ?? 0]));
this.applyCycleSlice(account.id);
this.lastFetchErrors[account.name] = `${msg} (using ${cached.length} cached entries from database)`;
} else {